A Note for Newcomers

My Observations are primarily intended for the benefit of individuals who work in or invest through the financial services industry. I have learned that such an audience strongly prefers an informal approach with a touch of irreverence and humor.

Thursday, May 19, 2011

Educated guesses are the best we can do

"Suppose you were an idiot, and suppose you were a member of congress; but I repeat myself.”
                                                                         - Mark Twain


Economics is, at best, an uncertain science. No one - not even Nobel prize winning economists - “ knows” the economic effect of any activity, effort or event. Yet members of congress (from both parties) constantly pontificate as if they do. Any one of them who makes a statement like that is an idiot. But I repeat myself.


Consider this in the coming debate.